The atmosphere's response, which ultimately matters for our weather patterns, may resemble a winter without a La Nia. A record warm low temperature was set on the 22nd with a low of 66 breaking the record of 64 from 2016. Learn everything you need to know about the Grand Canyon State's ever-changing forecasts here. Wildfires send smoke as temperatures near 100 degrees. PHOENIX (3TV/CBS 5) Look for one last, mostly sunny day before an unsettled weather pattern arrives for the next few days in Arizona.Light winds and high clouds can be expected this morning . April climate data across southeast Arizona. Officially the Tucson International airport recorded 1.82", which is around eight-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 48th driest Winter season on record. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. account_box Log in person_add Join settings Settings Sensor Network Maps & Radar Severe Weather News & Blogs Mobile Apps Historical Weather star 36.91 N, 111.46 W Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. Detailed Weather Forecast for February 8 in Az Zubayr, Mufazat al Barah, Iraq - temperature, wind, atmospheric pressure, humidity and precipitations - World-Weather.info . How Winter Fashion Has Changed in 100 Years (PHOTOS), Eerie Vintage Photos of People Battling the Flu, Democratic Republic of the Congo | Franais, State of Vatican City (Holy See) | Italiano. Weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius from early Sept. through early Oct. 2022. A warmer February is also possible from the mid-Atlantic states into the rest of the Southeast, Southern Plains westward into New Mexico and eastern Arizona. La Nia is expected to be the main driver for the third winter in a row. Combined with last years August average temperature being 1.2 below normal, this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be below normal. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 111 on the 16th to a low of 66 on the 5th. When Does It End? This month the airport recorded 9 days which is the highest amount dating back to 1948. The high temperature of 82 on the 20th marked the first August since 2007 that recorded back-to-back days with highs in the 80's. Two were for record highs and three were for record warm low temperatures and all of them occurred in December. October climate data across southeast Arizona. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 105 on May 15th to a low of 33 on March 8th. Winter temperatures are once again expected to be split between a warmer than average South and colder than average North, with colder risks in parts of the East. The National Weather Service in Phoenix predicts that Arizona is going to have a very wet and active monsoon season this summer, with nearly a 70% chance of precipitation expected to reach near. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.48" is 1.20" BELOWnormal and ranks as the 17th driest January/February period on record. Backed by the 5th warmest June and 7th warmest July and the warmest Summer average low temperature on record (tied with 2020), Summer 2022 goes into the record books asthe 3rd warmest Summer on record, tied with the Summers of 2013, 2015 & 2019. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 10th driest January through November period on record. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. Only In Your State reported that the state will be seeing some insane polar temperature swings this winter. You'll receive your first newsletter soon! The average yearly temperature, through the end of September, of 74.7 is 1.1 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record, tied with 2016. The yearly total to date currently stands as the 7th driest year with one month left in 2022. No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. I think we do a pretty good job, Geiger said. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? Updated 7:08PM Weather Associated Press 2022 was 5th warmest year on record 2022 has officially been declared the fifth warmest year on record. NOTE: The Winter 2022 Tier for MEMBERS and ANYONE INTERESTED is OPEN FOR JANUARY THROUGH END FEBRUARY WITH REDUCED SEASONAL TIER RATES. So, what about this month? The water year is below normal since October 1st at 6.16" which ranks as the 17th driest water year to date with one month left in the water year calendar. The average yearly temperature through the end of November of 72.9 ranks as the 11th warmest on record. It will definitely seem like it in January though, but we still have February, March, and April left, that of which can easily add more storms into the forecast. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Click on the images below for larger view. According to the Farmers' Almanac (in publication since 1818), states in . The periodical says it. The previous highest amount for October was 7 days in 1983, 2000 & 2015. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. KNXV According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that. The Farmers' Almanac is out with their Extended Winter Outlook for 2021-2022 and is calling for a "Frosty Flip-Flop Winter". AccuWeather's winter forecast. What is the average temperature in Arizona in January? Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 36% chance that they will end up above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Get Downloadable Images and More Here. August 29, 2022 NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA) makes long-range forecasts each month. NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. The water year rainfall is at the half-way mark with a paltry 2.03" being recorded. Three temperature records (one high & two warm lows) were set or tied. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.19". While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly aren't in the clear either. Weather Forecast Office. February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. But there's a potential curveball with La Nia this winter. AccuWeather long-range forecasters are predicting that 40 to 50 inches will accumulate in the city, around the average snowfall amount of 49.2 inches. This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. This led to isolated areas of heavy rain and flash flooding along with hail. Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. An very odd quirk happened this November when you compare the daily highs this year versus last year. In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. One temperature record was set during the month when the high of 85 on the 19th set a daily cool high record, besting the old record of 86 from 1966. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. Monthly Weather - Phoenix, AZ As of 7:03 am MST Feb View Apr Sun mon tue wed thu fri sat 26 57 37 27 63 42 28 63 48 1 62 37 2 55 41 3 60 39 4 67 44 Fri 03 | Day 60 2% SW 5 mph. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. On your phone:Download the 12News app for the latest local breaking news straight to your phone. Please try another search. Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. While it's true that large volcanic eruptions have historically had a temporary cooling effect on earth's climate, that's not the case for the Tongan eruption. Additionally the airport monthly total extended the streak of below normal rainfall for March to "18" straight. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 77 on the 7th to a low of 31 on the 2nd. There should be no reason you shouldnt be informed. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be up below normal and a 33% chance that they will end up above normal. With a colder air mass in place, high temperatures were in the 50's from the 12th through 16th with daily lows in the mid 20's to mid 30's from the 13th through the 17th. This is the 2nd most number of days during Summer on record but well behind the record of 33 days set in 2020. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch (0.33") with isolated spots recording up to 1.00". This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. However, January should at least be somewhat colder than usual from parts of Washington state and northern Idaho to the northern Plains, much of the Midwest and interior Northeast into northern New England. View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. Every year, the Farmers Almanac, which has been printed since 1818, attempts to answer that question with weather predictions based on generations of perception, experience, and common sense, according to its website. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). It will modify the jet stream pattern over North America and the Pacific Ocean, extending its reach to the rest of the world. Man shoots, kills victim outside of a Phoenix . Arizona weather in January 2024 The temperatures in Arizona in January are quite cold with temperatures between 48F and 66F, warm clothes are a must. Questions? Then it smashed that record. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.57" BELOWnormal & ranks as the 14th driest January through March period on record. The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. Love Arizona? I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. Copyright TWC Product and Technology LLC 2014, 2023. video. There should be enough snow on the ground still if you're looking to hit the slopes, but any further lashing will (hopefully) hold off for a little while longer. In a couple of words: its nice! No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. Areas south of the storm track (much of the Southeast) will see frequent storms bringing cold rains and a wintry mix . Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 100 on the 26th to a low of 39 on the 13th. This is a quite a difference from a year ago when the airport recorded 13.84" of rain through the end of October. This is the highest wind gust, tied with August 11, 1995, to be recorded at the airport in the past 50 years. It's not . #azwx #cawx https://t.co/G7FkHhFGSt. Another quiet period followed through the 18th before returning to the daily threat of showers and thunderstorms as moisture lingered across the area through the end of the month. Mostly cloudy. January climate data across southeast Arizona. A record cool high temperature was set on the 24th with a high of 67 breaking the record of 68 from 1936 & 1978. Avg Low Temps 35 to 50 Avg High Temps 15 to 25 Avg Low Temps 0 to 10 Rain Frequency 1 to 3 days Click or Tap on any day for a detailed forecast. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 This month a raging jet into the Pacific Northwest, which has no blocking. Since it was a colder one than earlier in the month, snow levels at times reached down to the valley floor with some light snow occurring on the east side of the metro area. By weather.com meteorologists October 13, 2022 At a Glance A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. The deep monsoonal moisture that was over the area for most of the month started to dry out during the last week of the month under a drier upper air pattern. A high minimum temperature of 75 on the 27th set a new daily record, eclipsing the old record of 73 from 1963 & 1989. The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. WeatherTAB Flagstaff, Arizona Help C F. Get more stories delivered right to your email. But when will it really start? Questions? The Tucson International airport, the official recording location in Tucson, recorded 4.94" which ranks as the 46th driest monsoon on record. National Weather Service The last seven days of the month was dry with below normal high and low temperatures. Rainfall amounts were mostly between 0.25" and 0.75". Dry conditions prevailed from the 11th to the 14th before an upper level low moved across the area bringing scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and small hail on the 15th & 16th. ARIZONA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Arizona Weather Force Office Main Page For updates. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.26" which ranks as the 9th driest water year to date with three months left in the water year calendar. A first look at Winter 2022/2023 forecast shows an obvious influence of the third-year La Nina phase. Could Arizona be in for another dry winter, leading to even worse drought conditions? Prognostic Discussion for Long-Lead Seasonal Outlooks. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This is because the jet stream, or storm track, stays to the north of our area, essentially making for wetter-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest, but drier than normal conditions for the Desert Southwest. She attended college in the Houston area and changed her major twice (psychology, computer science, and finally criminal justice) before taking a leap of faith and dropping out to pursue a career in freelance writing. For the first time since 2004, the average Fall temperature was below normal. The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. There were only seven days that recorded triple digit highs, which is eight days below the normal of 15 days for August. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. For only the third time since 1910, no temperature records were set during the first three months of the year. Here are some temperature highlights for the month: The monthly average temperature of 61.7 is two-tenths of a degree below normal and ranks as the 24th warmest March on record, tied with 2019. There were nine daily lows that were 80 or warmer. The cooling of these waters can have an atmospheric domino effect that influences weather patterns across the globe. The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . These were the first record temperatures set/tied in 2022. The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. Search. The drought classification for the area stood at D2 (Severe Drought). How to get these alerts with a premium subscription via e-mail by micro-climate zone AND/OR Get the GPS models for all events on your device enabled? Overall, the almanac says it will be wetter than normal, the precipitation beginning in October and extending right through November. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 103 on the 6th to a low of 65 on the 17th. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. All NOAA. Whether the polar vortex stays strong or weakens at some point in winter can definitely impact the forecast. There were five days that recorded freezing low temperatures at the airport which is up from the three that occurred in the previous winter but down five from the 1991-2020 normal period. 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. The last time back-to-back Octobers' were BELOW normal was back in the 1980's when there was a string of SEVEN straight BELOW normal Octobers' from 1980 to 1986. The monthly average temperature of 84.7 is just under 2 above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest September on record, tied with 2010. Fall was dry with above normal rainfall returning to the area during December. The first five months were rather dry with the airport only recording 0.67" or 2" below normal. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! Feb March 2023 . The monthly average temperature of 71.4 is 1.2 BELOW normal and ranks as the 40th warmestOctober on record. The best chance of a colder-than-average January will be in northern Minnesota. Reach breaking news reporter Sam Burdette at sburdette@gannett.com or on Twitter @SuperSafetySam. According to the Farmers' Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year - though drier than average, too. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 0.10" to 0.75 ". Global Warming Begins at the Poles - Ends at the Poles 2022-2024. To troubleshoot, here is the link to get situated. Subscribe to azcentral.com today. The forecast panned out well with Winter 2021-2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. So what's in store? The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 15th driest January through October period on record. The bottom line, according to Crawford, is this eruption isn't expected to be a significant influence on this winter's weather. Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.23" which ranks as the 38th wettest June on record, tied with 1980. 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Two daily record temperatures were set during the month. WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. The average yearly temperature is below normal for the calendar year through the end of March for the first time since 2017 and the fourth time this century (2001 & 2013). Some of the storms produced heavy rain, especially on the 4th, 5th, 6th & 8th. temperatures from Washington and northern . There are other puzzle pieces besides La Nia to consider in the forecast, which leads us to the next question. You also get the member section, which has controllable models like rain, wind, snow, in high resolution along with a GPS feature which is updated when an event is in the area You can go traditional with it and check out some truly delightful Christmas towns in Arizona, or you can rent a cabin in the woods and forget about life for a while as you watch snow gently fall. The airport two-day total of 0.74" ranks as the 3rd wettest New Year's Eve/Day on record. Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a half an inch (0.50") with a localized spots, especially in the foothills, recording up to nine-tenths of an inch (0.90"). According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. Best for planning. The last year in which Tucson waited until April to set/tied a record temperature was back in 2010. In my long range forecast for the season, I predicted 7-14 of rainfall with a likelihood of 10-14. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 83 on the 14th to a low of 26 on the 3rd. Reuben Salazar clears snow from his home in Flagstaff on Feb. 23, 2022. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch /0.33"/. December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. For a more accurate weather forecast please select a city, Click on a day for an hourly weather forecast, Royal Palms Resort and Spa, part of Hyatt. The arrows point to the cooler than average water in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, indicative of La Nia. Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. Equal chances use the map provided below. Last year, the Almanac predicted many of the 2021-2022 winter storms, most notably: the early-season nor'easter in the end of October, and the unusual blizzard in the last week of April (in parts of Montana, Wyoming, and the Dakotas). Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers Almanac,said there wasnt much particularly interesting or new forecasted for the area this fall, with generally fair weather from September through October. Combined with last years August total of 3.85", this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be above normal. Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season Kliff Kingsbury and Lovie Smith are the latest NFL head coaches to be fired By Max Molski Published January 9, 2023 Updated on January 9, 2023 . Multiple locations were found. US Dept of Commerce OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 36 F. ajgarrison - Flickr Add the current city. Amounts ranged from 4" to 9" with localized higher amounts up to 14". Last winter, Boston finished the season with. The widely followed youtube weather channel, is calling for a mixed bag of weather this upcoming winter season. According to its forecast map, Arizonas fall theme will be cool with decent precipitation.. Multiple locations were found. The water year rainfall total 2.03" ranks as the 9th driest on record. Blistering, Record-Breaking Heat Lytton, B.C. All NOAA. Expect snowy days, but not as many as we usually see (which isn't great for this whole drought situation we're in). Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded a trace of rain which is well below normal and ranks as the 16th driest November on record. There were six days of triple digit high temperatures which is slightly above normal. The forecast for precipitation is a 24% chance that they will be above normal and a 43% chance that they will end up below normal. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a warmer than usual winter. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly less than a tenth an inch /0.10"/ with localized totals up to a third of an inch /0.33"/, especially near Vail and on the northwest side of the metro area. The Climate Prediction Center forecast for Fall 2022 called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures and a 22% chance of below normal temperatures. The last day of 2022 was dry with afternoon temperatures in the upper 60's to lower 70's. This is when you get these delivered to your e-mail of choosing AND get your own micro-climate alert system based on your zone for my winter and storm alert products that are not posted on social media when issued. While anything is possible, it appears a season full of mellow days and drier air is ahead, so get your sweaters. November 2022 to October 2023 Winter will be warmer than normal, with above-normal precipitation. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in January 2024. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. For the first Summer since 2010 & the sixth time since 1980, there were no record highs set or tied at the airport. This ranks as the 55th wettestOctober on record, tied with 1941. The monthly average temperature of 89.1 is 3.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 5th warmest June on record.
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